People who actually hunt and fish support Obama

It's a peculiar spectacle to watch the online supporters of Senator Clinton attempt to contort themselves into whichever identity their candidate is assuming at the moment. Currently, Senator Clinton is a varmint-shooting, frog-leg boiling, fish-sliming, Annie Oakley who learned to shoot at her Grandpa's "cottage" (We call 'em "cabins" in Minnesota) in Scranton, Pennsylvania. She's also a populist in the way that only a Yale-educated, multi-millionaire, corporate-lawyer, Wal-Mart-booster, mother of a hedge-fund manager and spouse of a former-president could be.

If Hillary wants to play make-believe for a day (or week, or month), however, that's fine with me; It's the disingenuousness of her online supporters that really bothers me. Given the demographics of internet users in general (wealthier, more urban) and the regional strongholds of Senator Clinton's support (California and the Northeast), I'd venture to guess that the majority of you folks aren't exactly avid outdoorsmen and women -- so please, stop feigning outrage over Senator Obama's remark about gun-ownership. Via the 2006 U.S. Fish and Wildlife survey, here's a reality check on who really hunts and fishes (percentage of population by state):      

1. Minnesota (32%)

  1. Montana (31%)
  2. Alaska (30%)
  3. North Dakota (29%)
  4. Wyoming (28%)
  5. Wisconsin (27%)
  6. Arkansas (26%)
  7. Maine (25%)
   West Virginia (25%)
10. Mississippi (24%)
   Missouri (24%)
   Idaho (24%)
13. South Dakota (23%)

=========

39. Pennsylvania (14%)

As you can see, Senator Obama has won or will win 11 of the top 13 states for hunting and fishing. Pennsylvania, which I fully expect Senator Clinton to win, ranks a paltry 39th (deer-hunter country, my ass).  



Display:


But I thought (2.00 / 1)

Californians were latte-sipping Prius drivers?

What should I believe?

I think it is a stretch to say that Californians are a good representation of the types of folks these comments are supposed to be about.


by nwgates on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 08:05:15 PM EST

Re: Come visit our fine state (none / 0)

Get real. Have you ever been to places like Fort Bragg, Eureka, Chula Vista, Sacramento? Not to mention that Bakersfield, Modesto, Stockton, etc, aren't what I'd call "redneck" territory.


Hooray for John McCain!
by ragekage on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 08:12:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Are you insane? (none / 0)

No kidding; we have this weird notion Clinton can't win unless it's through a coup or by doing everything she can to destroy Obama.


Hooray for John McCain!
by ragekage on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 08:44:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Are you insane? (none / 0)

Wierd = Accurate


Unseen, in the background, Fate was quietly slipping the lead into the boxing glove.
by fogiv on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 10:16:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I guess you've never been to California (none / 0)

It's bigger than most countries, I believe. It's incredibly diverse...there are big cities like San Francisco and LA (which are very different from each other), there are mountains, there are deserts, there's tons of farms (most of our produce comes from there). Saying all Californians are a certain way is like saying all Americans are a certain way.

Incidentally, Florida has some diversity, too--it's not all beaches and swimming pools and theme parks, there is plenty of cattle country and farms (besides citrus).

What the diarist has done is find large states that are thinly populated, so that there is no urban population to dilute the percentage of hunting/fishing types. It doesn't really prove anything about Obama...it may be possible to win the Democratic caucus in a lot of those states without having much support among hunters/fisherman (they may be out hunting or fishing the day of the caucus).


by Alice in Florida on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 09:17:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Hunting season (none / 0)

All the Caucuses to date have been held in winter.




Democratic Candidate, US Senate, Wisconsin 2012
by benmasel on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 09:20:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

tho Wisconsin's Primary coincided with (none / 0)

Icefishing.




Democratic Candidate, US Senate, Wisconsin 2012
by benmasel on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 09:20:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I guess you've never been to California (none / 0)

What the diarist has done is find large states that are thinly populated, so that there is no urban population to dilute the percentage of hunting/fishing types.

While that tends to be true, it's not universally true. We have a good-sized metro area in Minnesota, I live in it, and I fish.

It doesn't really prove anything about Obama...it may be possible to win the Democratic caucus in a lot of those states without having much support among hunters/fisherman (they may be out hunting or fishing the day of the caucus).

That's possible, but I doubt it. And correlation, of course, doesn't equal causation. The only thing we know for certain is that Obama overwhelmingly wins the states that hunt and fish the most.


by RP McMurphy on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 09:50:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: People who actually hunt and fish (2.00 / 1)

That's like those cheese commercials with the cows for California. Because, when I think of California, I think of hunting, fishing, and cheese.


Hooray for John McCain!
by ragekage on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 08:06:04 PM EST

Re: People who actually hunt and fish (none / 0)

And they do it with Wyoming's water.


by johnnygunn on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 09:29:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: People who actually hunt and fish (2.00 / 1)

Obama actually supports the individual right reading of the Second Amendment. Given he was a constitutional lawyer, I think he'll be the ones favored by the pro-gun crowd Clinton's trying to claim being a part of.


Hooray for John McCain!
by ragekage on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 08:09:31 PM EST

Re: People who actually hunt and fish (none / 0)

When did he say that? I thought he was for gun control, but lying low because it's not considered an acceptable position now. Of course, if the Supreme Court interprets the Second Amendment as granting an individual right, then it doesn't matter  whether Obama supports it or not.


by Alice in Florida on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 09:24:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: People who actually hunt and fish support Obam (2.00 / 2)

The state possessing the most hunters and fisherman is California:

That's incredibly dishonest -- California possesses the most of lots of things simply as a result of its population size. As a percentage of its population, however, no state in the U.S. hunts or fishes less than California. Only 7% of its citizens  claimed to hunt or fish in 2006. Other Clinton strongholds, such as New York (8%), Massachusetts (9%), and New Jersey (8%) registered similar numbers.    


by RP McMurphy on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 08:09:54 PM EST

Re: People who actually hunt and fish (2.00 / 2)

The state possessing the most non-hunters and non-fishermen is also California. Does that prove the opposite?

Those who hunt of fish in California make up 7% of the population.

I hunt. And fish. And voted for Obama. And would again.


John McCain
by Mandoliniment on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 08:10:10 PM EST

Re: Your statistics are inaccurate (none / 0)

Your statistics are inaccurate. In 2005, California discontinued issuing licenses for non-commerical ocean fishing, an activity in which millions of people engage.

Well, then it's a good thing that the survey data wasn't compiled using licensing-data but rather interviews. By its citizens own admission, no state hunts or fishes less on a per capita basis than California.


by RP McMurphy on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 08:28:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Hunting is in serious decline (none / 0)

Which is to say less pleasure is being taken blasting furry critters.  


by ReillyDiefenbach on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 08:34:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hunting is in serious decline (none / 0)

Hunting is in serious decline which is to say less pleasure is being taken blasting furry critters.

It sure is, and I don't have any problem with that. I myself am a fisherman but not a hunter. What I do have a problem with, however, is inauthenticity. Neither Hillary Clinton nor Barack Obama is any kind of hunter or fisherman. Both are members of the "elite" -- with Hillary Clinton being far more elite than Barack Obama. I just wish Senator Clinton would stop trying to market herself as something she's not.


by RP McMurphy on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 08:45:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Your statistics are inaccurate (none / 0)

Your 12% estimate is cited to the 1996 National Survey of Fishing, Hunting, and Wildlife. My 7% comes from the 2006 National Survey of Fishing, Hunting, and Wildlife. Same report, mine is 6 times more recent.

Lord knows where you get your 2,000,000 ocean fishermen; I've gone to the same data portal: your ocean licenses sold a total of less than 500,000 in 2003.

Moreover it's not like they just opened up ocean fishing without a license; you still need a license to fish.

So... your 2,000,000 fishing licenses divided into California's 36M population gives a estimated rate of fishing of 5%. Why, that's exactly what the 2006 National Survey of Fishing, Hunting, and Wildlife said! Amazing.

And to think I went to the trouble of digging up that data myself.


John McCain
by Mandoliniment on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 09:11:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Your statistics are inaccurate (none / 0)

They must have been interviewing you, or some other mental defective.

At least this mental defective is capable of understanding polling and statistics.

Hunting licenses issued: 1,655,219

Fishing licenses issued: 2,000,000+

1. The same people can buy both hunting and fishing licenses, but that obviously doesn't result in twice as many people hunting and fishing. 2. Tourists can buy hunting and fishing licenses, which doesn't result in more Californians hunting and fishing. 3. The survey conducted by the Census Bureau is a far more accurate way of determining the percentage of people hunting and fishing in California than the sale of licenses. If the survey is flawed, then obviously your data is as well since you rely on the very same Census Bureau for your California population statistics.

Nice try, Pinnochio, but your seven percent solution is raw sewage.

Talk to the Department of Fish and Wildlife and the Census Bureau -- they're the ones "shortchanging" your non-hunting/fishing state.


by RP McMurphy on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 09:14:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Your statistics are inaccurate (none / 0)

You mean licenses like the 2008 California Resident Sportfishing license: "Required for a resident to take fish, mollusks, crustaceans, invertebrates, amphibians or reptile in inland or ocean waters. Additional stamps and report cards are required for certain species and areas."?

Never mind that if you read the report you'd have seen that this data didn't come from license sales.

You'll have to lie harder next time.


John McCain
by Mandoliniment on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 08:39:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Learn how to read, Gump (none / 0)

Ok: your assertions:

1) California ceased to licence recreational ocean fishing in 2003.

Answer: false. California ceased to have a separate ocean fishing license, and now issues a single recreational sportfishing license for both inland and ocean waters.

2) "millions" of Californians engage in ocean fishing.

Answer: false. In 2003, when the seperate ocean fishing license was last issued, approximately 450,000 were sold to residents and non-residents alike. Of those over 200,000 were "pacific ocean/enhancement" licenses, or upgrades to existing licenses.


John McCain
by Mandoliniment on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 09:20:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: People who actually hunt and fish (none / 0)

I'm Californian (born in Oakland, raised in northeastern California where my Irish immigrant ancestors settled in the late 1870s).

I come from a long line of sportsmen and outdoorsy types.  Hell, my career keeps me outside most of the time.

My Dad and my Brother combined own more guns than the Canadian Army and both hunt/fish regularly.  They're Obama supporters.

Dad called tonight, laughing about Hillary's "duck hunting" story.  Not a chuckle, an out and out guffaw.


Unseen, in the background, Fate was quietly slipping the lead into the boxing glove.
by fogiv on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 10:23:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: People who actually hunt and fish (none / 0)

This is dumb.  It's not that he mentioned guns, it is that he seems to think that people turn to guns in frustration and bitterness.  You all don't get the overall impact of his statements because like him you don't get the insulting tone of his remarks in general.  Religion and guns and the way people live in rural america isn't a result of having been ignored and frustrated by politicians.  It is how they live by choice.  Obama naturally thinks that if they had any other choice, they would reject their way of life.  That is freaking condescending and if he and his followers understood that he might not have ever innocently said that in the first place.  Let us know when some of you start to understand.  Cause god knows, Obama doesn't.  I doubt that the other gun voting states which you list grasped his mindset or they might not have voted for him, or maybe they didn't.


by Scotch on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 08:44:36 PM EST

Re: People who actually hunt and fish (none / 0)

Uh no. He was talking about  people turning into single-issue voters and voting against their economic interests.


My candidate lost fair and square. So did yours. Get over it and let's kick McSame's ass!
by RLMcCauley on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 08:53:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: People who actually hunt and fish (none / 0)

It doesn't matter what you've come up with after microanalysing his speech, the people he was referring to will read it just as i said above.  In fact, when he has tried to explain it as he did just now on the so called comapassion forum, he didn't say anything about your grasp of it. He addressed saying that he was putting their religion down.  It is all about how words are perceived, not about what the words are meant to mean in politics.


by Scotch on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 09:01:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: People who actually hunt and fish (none / 0)

I'm sure that you've take polls on the matter but since he has been saying the exact same thing since at least 2004 there was no need to micro-analyze.


My candidate lost fair and square. So did yours. Get over it and let's kick McSame's ass!
by RLMcCauley on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 09:04:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: People who actually hunt and fish (none / 0)

Afain, the people in this election haven't been following him since 2004.  What they read and hear of what he said in front of the wealthy in California when he was talking about them.


by Scotch on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 09:08:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: People who actually hunt and fish (none / 0)

Doesn't matter if they have or not. He's consistent on the issue and will remain so and that message will get out like it already has.


My candidate lost fair and square. So did yours. Get over it and let's kick McSame's ass!
by RLMcCauley on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 09:14:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: People who actually hunt and fish (none / 0)

It's not that he mentioned guns, it is that he seems to think that people turn to guns in frustration and bitterness.

Some certainly do.

You all don't get the overall impact of his statements because like him you don't get the insulting tone of his remarks in general.

I don't get it? And where, exactly, do you live?

Religion and guns and the way people live in rural america isn't a result of having been ignored and frustrated by politicians.  It is how they live by choice.

I think you're right to some degree. However, I think that Senator Obama was arguing that people living in depressed rural communities take comfort in the familiar (guns, god, etc.) and vote against their economic self-interest as a result -- which is, to my mind, also true.

Cause god knows, Obama doesn't.

And neither does Senator Clinton.

I doubt that the other gun voting states which you list grasped his mindset or they might not have voted for him, or maybe they didn't.

1. There's a difference between hunting and gun-fetishism. 2. Those states I listed were by and large ground-zero for the populist movement and care far more about a candidate's authenticity  and honestly and their own economic well-being than the social-conservatives' flim-flam.


by RP McMurphy on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 09:01:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: People who actually hunt and fish (none / 0)

I live and have lived my entire life right smack in the middle of rural Pennsylvania.  You?


by Scotch on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 09:03:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: People who actually hunt and fish (none / 0)

I live and have lived my entire life right smack in the middle of rural Pennsylvania.  You?

Iowa and Minnesota -- so I'd say we both have an idea what we're talking about.


by RP McMurphy on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 09:21:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: People who actually hunt and fish (none / 0)

According to Joan Burbick, author of Gun Show Nation: Gun Culture and American Democracy :

"The symbolic meaning of owning a gun is to reclaim political power, demonize minorities, distort the issue of crime in America, express contempt for women gaining access to power, and distract Americans from the real issues of democracy."

Ironically, the first hints of gun control in America emerged from the Civil War era South.  Such motivations, stoked by white fears of armed blacks, were anchored to the model of distrust for the South's class considered both different and inferior: Americans of African descent.

Joan Burbick (cited above) posits that the movement championing Second Amendment rights was born of the social unrest of the 1960s.  She argues that conservatives responded to blacks' and women's demands for rights by deliberately co-opting the language of civil rights to appeal to a disaffected white electorate, thereby birthing a strong conservative response to liberal efforts aimed at achieving social, economic, and racial justice.

Later, we've seen the National Rifle Association (NRA) secure their claim to a "gun rights ideology" that uses gun issues as political weapons to attack virtually every progressive idea, especially on issues of poverty and race.  It's a conservative wedge strategy that has successfully caused the rural people to vote against their own economic interests, and played a significant role in the creation of the bloc we now call "Reagan Democrats".

In addition to a move toward religion, it would seem that economic adversity may push people toward a gun rights ideology that, while cloaked in a mythic tradition and nostalgic "frontier" mentality, serves largely to ensure the political power of conservatives.

http://www.mydd.com/story/2008/4/12/2123 1/8815#commenttop


Unseen, in the background, Fate was quietly slipping the lead into the boxing glove.
by fogiv on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 10:26:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Hillary, from gungrabber to Elmer Fudd (none / 0)

in 24 hours.




Democratic Candidate, US Senate, Wisconsin 2012
by benmasel on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 08:56:21 PM EST

Re: Stunning Logic !!! (none / 0)

Minnesota tops the list with 32% hunting and/or fishing.
213,000 people turned out for the Minnesota Democratic caucuses.
Of which Obama got 142,000 or 66%.
(62,000 people turned out for the GOP caucuses.)
Minnesota's estimated 2006 population is 5,167,000.

So 2.7% of Minnesotans caucused for Obama.
Now, this 2.7% could have all come from the hunting/fishing subset -
Or it could have all come from the nonhunting/nonfishing subset.
Or some from both in any combination.

Barring some information on the breakdown of voting trends - it is impossible to tell.

In actuality, rural people are FAR more likely to hunt and fish.  The poor and the working poor in these states are more likely to hunt and fish.  Take a look a Missouri - another state in your list.
Clinton won the red counties, Obama the green.

Photobucket
http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state .php?year=2008&fips=29&f=0&o ff=0&elect=1

It appears to me that Clinton supporters are the ones who hunt and fish in Missouri.

PS - Brush up on set theory before you post something like this again.


by johnnygunn on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 09:27:08 PM EST

Re: Stunning Logic !!! (none / 0)

The poor and the working poor in these states are more likely to hunt and fish.

Not true. According to the survey I cited, approximately 60% of hunters/anglers have household incomes > $50,000 a year. The poorest people tend to hunt/fish the least.


by RP McMurphy on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 10:09:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Stunning Logic !!! (none / 0)

Hunting and fishing is a VERY expensive pastime.


Unseen, in the background, Fate was quietly slipping the lead into the boxing glove.
by fogiv on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 10:30:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Stunning Logic !!! (2.00 / 1)

I might note however that poor people may hunt or fish just as much, but may not do so legally (i.e. purhcase tags, licenses, etc.).  As a result, they won't show in DFG statistics.


Unseen, in the background, Fate was quietly slipping the lead into the boxing glove.
by fogiv on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 10:32:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Stunning Logic !!! (2.00 / 1)

I might note however that poor people may hunt or fish just as much, but may not do so legally (i.e. purhcase tags, licenses, etc.).  As a result, they won't show in DFG statistics.

The statistics aren't based on licenses, tags, ect., but rather interviews.


by RP McMurphy on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 10:39:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Why would they tell the truth (none / 0)

to cityslicker interviewers?




Democratic Candidate, US Senate, Wisconsin 2012
by benmasel on Mon Apr 14, 2008 at 12:04:41 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Stunning Logic !!! (none / 0)

Ahh. I see.


Unseen, in the background, Fate was quietly slipping the lead into the boxing glove.
by fogiv on Mon Apr 14, 2008 at 01:08:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Missouri is the South (none / 0)

If you haven't been to Missouri you might not realize that outside of the urban areas Missouri is the South. And it is the white South, like Arkansas, Tennessee and Oklahoma. Those voters went for Clinton not because of guns. I can guarantee you that. Race may have been only a part of it - Arkansas it was home town support for sure. But being a Tennessean myself I can assure you that Obama's "heritage" was a big reason why so many yellow dog Democrats voted for Clinton.


by elrod on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 11:21:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Missouri is the South (none / 0)

I know Missouri quite well, having lived in Lawrence and researched rural communities throughout the region. I know nearly every hill and molehill. While you are correct that southern Missouri is Ozark in culture, northern Missouri is very Midwestern and abuts Iowa - a state that gave Obama his first victory.

So it is far more than just race.
It's far more than hunting - and I hope that all the candidates realize that.
If this campaign becomes one of hunting sound bites,
then this country is in a heap of trouble.


by johnnygunn on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 11:57:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: People (none / 0)

Obama is an effete candidate. There are people in those states that like effette candidates. Besides, what percentage of the general population showed up for a caucus? I'm willing to bet it's the same percentage of the state that is college professors or students.


No longer a Democrat, now proudly an independent voter!
by Ga6thDem on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 09:58:18 PM EST

Re: People who actually hunt and fish support Obam (none / 0)

It appears to me that Clinton supporters are the ones who hunt and fish in Missouri.

In Missouri (and much of the South), you're probably right. However, Obama won almost every county in Minnesota, Idaho, Alaska, North Dakota, etc. -- so I'd say that I'm correct in those instances.  

PS - Brush up on set theory before you post something like this again.

I understand that this is a very rough statistic, but so is your county-based analysis. The reality is that we simply don't know, but I do find it striking that, as I noted before, Obama has won or will win 11/13 of the states with the highest rates of fishing/hunting.


by RP McMurphy on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 10:04:28 PM EST


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